
Stop measuring motion. Start managing return.
I grew up in the sales‑driven era.
Requests poured in. Agile felt like magic.
We could handle 25 asks across 20 scrum teams.
Velocity charts climbed. We got really good at getting stuff done.
But then the questions changed. Boards and execs wanted clarity on outcomes, ROI, and direction. And when you zoom out over the last few years, many teams can’t say — with confidence — what the business actually gained from everything we shipped.
That gap is the problem.
We’ve been measuring activity, not impact.
Most product orgs avoid the hardest part: estimating outcomes.
Not because we don’t care. Because it’s messy.
Between idea and impact sits the real world — sales, marketing, customer success, legal, compliance, adoption, timing. Plenty of variables you don’t control.
So teams default to safer signals: features shipped, points burned, sprints completed. It looks like progress. It isn’t the full story.
Here’s my position: your outcome estimates don’t need to be perfect — they need to be directionally correct.
That’s the bar. And it’s enough to change how you prioritize, how you invest, and how you lead.
When product moved deeper into tech orgs, many of us over‑rotated to delivery. Comfortable. Busy. Safe.
But the role was born with GM roots — line of sight from strategy → initiative → measurable outcome. Our job is to understand where the business is going, build technology that accelerates that direction, and measure the lift.
Outcome estimates give you that line of sight. They force the conversation you need: What will change for the user, and what will change for the business?
Here’s a practical way to lead this — built from what I’ve seen work across mid‑market to enterprise teams.
What are we trying to move this quarter? International activation? Enterprise conversion? Cross‑sell growth? Pick one or two business outcomes that matter now.
Rule: If it doesn’t map to a strategic outcome, it doesn’t ship.
Delivery metrics are hygiene. Keep them, but don’t confuse them for progress. Elevate metrics like:
Know where you are today. If you want activation up 15% in APAC, get the current number and instrument the funnel. No baseline, no bet.
Put a stake in the ground — directionally correct is the goal:
If sales says a feature drives +$50K ACV: What segment? Expected attach? Pricing assumptions? Ramp curve? Confidence interval? Leading indicators at 30/60/90 days? If you don’t ask, you’re not de‑risking — you’re hoping.
Let engineering leaders or a project manager run daily mechanics. Use your time with customers, sales, support, marketing, legal, finance. The job is orchestration around the outcome, not editing JIRA all week.
Monthly or quarterly, report a balanced scorecard: execution health and business impact. Velocity and on‑time stay in the appendix. Impact is the headline. What moved? What didn’t? What will we change next?
Translate numbers into narrative: why this market, why now, what we learned, what we’re changing next. Story drives alignment and funding.
None of these require perfect prediction. They require clear bets, real baselines, and fast feedback.
Budgets are tighter. Boards are asking for return on technology spend, not just “digital progress.” Most teams have plenty of motion. What they need is measured impact.
You don’t beat that by adding more epics. You beat it by committing to outcome targets, accepting uncertainty, and learning your way into confidence.
As I tell every team: get comfortable being uncomfortable. Put a number on it. You’ll be wrong at first. That’s fine. You’ll learn faster than the teams who won’t commit at all.
At Iteright, we describe this as aligning investments, resources, and technology to measurable business outcomes — then making that line of sight visible to everyone. It’s not theory. It’s an operating habit.
Open your roadmap. For each item, write one sentence that links it to a measurable business outcome you can move in the next quarter. If you can’t write it yet, don’t fund it yet.
We don’t exist to finish story points. We exist to drive value.
What outcome will your team commit to — directionally and publicly — this quarter?